✨ (Spoilers for the Lunar 4 livestream) ✨

Reposting this with a new title, since people were making assumptions that I was producing leaks, even though this is entirely a theory made from the Lunar 4 livestream and the Lunar 1-3 updates.

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In this post I will be making three main theories talking about:

✦ The fourth moon mentioned by Sandrone

✦ Sandrone’s death flags

✦ What appears to be a celestial nail showing up in the fight against Dottore

｡ﾟ･ ° ｡ ‧₊˚ . ˚ ｡ﾟ･ ° ｡ ‧₊˚ . ˚ ｡ﾟ･ ° ｡ ‧₊˚ .

I’ve seen a lot of theories saying how Sandrone will die in the fight against Dottore and how the fourth moon that Sandrone mentions is the one created by Dottore. In my opinion, I don’t believe that’s the case.

✦ Dottore’s Moon - Theory 1

The trailers purposefully try to lead viewers in a different direction, to maintain the element of surprise when the truth is revealed in game. So I doubt they’d design the trailer in a way to suggest it’s Dottore’s moon, if it really was his moon that was mentioned.
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While I do believe he’s made a moon, I don’t think it will be the one that Sandrone mentions and instead it could just be one that’s around during the fight and will be destroyed once we (or the celestial nail, if that’s what’s shown with the explosion) defeat him. It’s too technological looking (yes I know the other moons look like they’re made from technology, but his looks extra) and too tied to him as a character and a boss. While it may serve the purpose of a moon in the fight, I don’t think it would be strong enough to actually function as a real moon.

✦ Dottore’s Moon - Theory 2

But, let’s say I’m wrong about the first theory and that the one she mentions is really Dottore’s moon. If that’s the case and it truly functions as a real moon, then it could still tie into my next theory.
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After our fight with Dottore is over, this new moon might stay in Teyvat. One result of this new moon might be that it functions as a type of anchor that could bring Columbina back to the present (if it actually is the past she travelled to in the moon gate).
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This may or may not be a part of Dottore’s plan to gain control over the authorities these moons may hold, whether that’s seizing the authorities himself, or through Columbina having control over them. I think the only main purpose of this is so that the Shades don’t have a monopoly over these authorities. Therefore, he might not be going against the Tsaritsa’s plan, but instead just going about it in a way we didn’t understand at the time.

｡ﾟ･ ° ｡ ‧₊˚ . ˚ ｡ﾟ･ ° ｡ ‧₊˚ . ˚ ｡ﾟ･ ° ｡ ‧₊˚ .

By now, most people on here have probably seen the theories about how Sandrone repeatedly foreshadows her own death. So, I won’t bore you by repeating it. Instead, I want to expand on these theories and relate them to the Lunar 4 livestream.

✦ Sandrone’s Death - Theory 1

The foreshadowing to her death suggests she’d die to “save the world” and how the theories imply that Columbina is her “world” that she’d die for. But if Sandrone died in the fight against Dottore, it would be a fight for revenge rather than to “save [her] world”.
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It would be more likely that she’d die trying to bring Columbina back and that she does the scan after the battle and that’s when she notices the fourth moon show up. This could be what gives Sandrone hope that Columbina is out there and that she’s able to save her. Then, during the process of saving her, Sandrone sacrifices her life in place of Columbina.
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This would provide Sandrone with more reason for players to empathise with her and somewhat for her to ‘atone’ for the ‘villainous’ actions she did in the past (example: where she cut out the tongue of an NPC called Jenck). As Genshin, so far at least, do not release ‘villainous’ characters without having them redeemed or shown that they’re not actually ‘villains’. So if they wanted to make Sandrone playable, they’d likely have to do something like this first.

✦ Sandrone’s Death - Theory 2

This one’s more of a crack theory if anything, mostly because it’s funny in my opinion and because I’m tired and running out of ideas. But wouldn’t it be kind of funny if Sandrone dies by accidentally getting hit by a celestial nail that was meant to actually his Dottore?

｡ﾟ･ ° ｡ ‧₊˚ . ˚ ｡ﾟ･ ° ｡ ‧₊˚ . ˚ ｡ﾟ･ ° ｡ ‧₊˚ .

✦ Celestial Nail Theory

Finally, the celestial nail theory. If you go to 5:18 in the trailer, you see something blue shoot down from where the sky has been parted, which then creates a giant blue explosion. When I slowed it down enough, it appeared to be a blue pillar-like object and when it hits, the object remains stationary, while the blue effects around it continue warping from the impact. I believe that Dottore’s actions have finally awoken the Primordial One (PO) and that this is a celestial nail that has been sent down to stop him.
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While I don’t think the PO will reveal themselves yet, I do think that they’ve now awoken after having sensed strong moon-like energy. Because they’d previously made the other moons into weapons, they’re likely unsure whether this new ‘moon’ will be used as a weapon against them, so they’re trying to stop it before that can happen.
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Bare in mind, if they’re just woken up, they might not know the extent of anything that’s happened since falling asleep, so anything that could be deemed a threat, is a threat in their eyes. They’ll likely consult the Shades after this incident (if it is a nail and if it was the PO who sent it down). Therefore, this should kick off the bigger events that will soon be happening in the story.
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I doubt they’d wait until Szhneznaya to wake the PO only to immediately fight them as soon as they awake. The player needs to be shown how much of a threat — or ally — they can be (most likely a threat at this stage though, because of the PO’s bad history with Descenders).

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Let me know if I’ve missed anything though.

If anyone wants to find the nail I mentioned, watch the Lunar 4 trailer, go to 5:17 and slide up to see the individual frames, screen record as you slowly move between the frames, then slow down the recording once you’ve saved it to photos, you should see it a little more clearly then.

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